Science · Pandemics

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

$1.4K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
Trade on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
August 30
$61 Volume
84%
October 31
72%
December 31
79%
Resolved 1
June 30
$1.4K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.

Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.

The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Screwworm National Emergency declared by?
It's a genuine race: August 30 edges the field at 48%, barely ahead of December 31 at 46%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Screwworm National Emergency declared by?
At 48% implied for August 30, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Screwworm National Emergency declared by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Screwworm National Emergency declared by?
Traders have put $1.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Screwworm National Emergency declared by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

Similar Markets

December 314%YesNo
September 301%YesNo
SpaceXSpaceX65%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic36%YesNo
October 3196%YesNo
September 3092%YesNo
↑3k99%YesNo
↑3.5k95%YesNo
2800+99%YesNo
2825+93%YesNo
<425mm85%YesNo
425-450mm10%YesNo
80-9953%YesNo
100–11943%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more