This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Z.ai
$2.3K Volume
38%
Moonshot
$10.8K Volume
29%
Alibaba
$276 Volume
17%
Baidu
$987 Volume
9%
DeepSeek
$241 Volume
8%
ByteDance
$344 Volume
5%
Xiaomi
$504 Volume
4%
Tencent
$347 Volume
6%
Meituan
$280 Volume
6%
StepFun
$304 Volume
3%
MiniMax
$266 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
No runaway leader here - Other at 50% versus Company A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
At 50% implied for Other, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October market resolve?
Mark 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Total turnover stands at $17.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Anthropic98%YesNo
OpenAI2%YesNo
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
October 202673%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
Anthropic91%YesNoOpenAI5%YesNo
1.5T+48%YesNo
1T–1.25T18%YesNo
November 3086%YesNo
October 3159%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T19%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo
1.8T+82%YesNo
1.5–1.8T14%YesNo
