This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Google
$31.1K Volume
96%
Anthropic
$9.3K Volume
4%
Alibaba
$15.5K Volume
2%
OpenAI
$3.2K Volume
3%
Moonshot
$2.3K Volume
1%
Meta
$2.8K Volume
1%
StepFun
$577 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$500 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$2.5K Volume
1%
MiniMax
$1.6K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$2.3K Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$1.1K Volume
1%
Baidu
$1.5K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$2.4K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$1K Volume
1%
Meituan
$709 Volume
1%
Amazon
$556 Volume
1%
Mistral
$554 Volume
1%
Tencent
$1.1K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$667 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Google dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Other, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
With 96% implied for Google, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
$1.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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