This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Alibaba
$12.1K Volume
89%
Moonshot
$6.6K Volume
9%
Z.ai
$4.6K Volume
1%
Google
$1.7K Volume
2%
Anthropic
$1.1K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$1.7K Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$2.5K Volume
1%
OpenAI
$16.4K Volume
1%
Meta
$1.6K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$751 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$463 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$421 Volume
1%
Thinky
$535 Volume
1%
Tencent
$1.7K Volume
1%
Poolside
$452 Volume
1%
Mistral
$711 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
At 89%, Alibaba has pulled far clear of Other (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
Traders price Alibaba at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
Total turnover stands at $695. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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