This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Alibaba
$7.8K Volume
59%
OpenAI
$4.3K Volume
21%
Google
$3.3K Volume
17%
Baidu
$1.5K Volume
5%
Moonshot
$865 Volume
9%
SpaceXAI
$892 Volume
2%
MiniMax
$1.7K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$876 Volume
7%
Anthropic
$2K Volume
4%
Meta
$868 Volume
10%
Mistral
$846 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$825 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$868 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$713 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$814 Volume
1%
Meituan
$606 Volume
1%
Amazon
$575 Volume
1%
Bytedance
$793 Volume
1%
Tencent
$837 Volume
1%
StepFun
$698 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
No runaway leader here - Alibaba at 58% versus Other at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Traders give Alibaba a 58% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026 (37 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
$382 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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