This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
The market prices Yes at only 4%, with No at 97%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 4% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
Total turnover stands at $2.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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