Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes on whether to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A vote will qualify regardless of its passage. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify.
The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 39%, with No at 62%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
$1.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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