Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A vote will qualify only if it passes and the new government is constituted.
A vote that is held but fails will not qualify. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify.
The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
Traders are split - 49% for Yes versus 51% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
Traders give Yes a 49% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $611. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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