AI · Tech

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$14.5K Volume
01/11/2026 23:59
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Prior to August 31
$347 Volume
4%
August 31–September 6
$277 Volume
8%
September 7–September 13
$921 Volume
10%
September 14–September 20
$292 Volume
3%
September 21–September 27
$371 Volume
12%
September 28–October 4
$420 Volume
8%
October 5–October 11
$300 Volume
7%
October 12–October 18
$317 Volume
8%
October 19–October 25
$276 Volume
1%
No release by November 1
$10.7K Volume
45%
October 26–November 1
$227 Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
The field is wide open: No release by November 1 tops it at just 45%, with September 21–September 27 close behind at 7%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
Right now the market's best guess is No release by November 1 at 45% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Nov 2026 (69 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
$14.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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