This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Tampa, FL
$1.7K Volume
98%
San Diego, CA
$597 Volume
95%
Denver, CO
$602 Volume
89%
Las Vegas, NV
$1.7K Volume
88%
Charlotte, NC
$75 Volume
85%
Sacramento, CA
$658 Volume
51%
Pittsburgh, PA
$104 Volume
85%
Baltimore, MD
$569 Volume
28%
Detroit, MI
$95 Volume
77%
Minneapolis, MN
$1.5K Volume
20%
New York, NY
$460 Volume
39%
New Orleans, LA
$61 Volume
83%
London, UK
$74 Volume
87%
Philadelphia, PA
77%
Seattle, WA
$99 Volume
16%
St. Louis, MO
80%
Tokyo, Japan
$20 Volume
81%
Washington, DC
$1.1K Volume
29%
Portland, OR
$2.3K Volume
12%
Chicago, IL
$742 Volume
76%
Boston, MA
$3K Volume
12%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
At 95%, Tampa, FL has pulled far clear of San Diego, CA (93%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
With 95% implied for Tampa, FL, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $119. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T93%YesNo
1.5T+48%YesNo
1T–1.25T17%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T19%YesNo
$2.25–$2.5T18%YesNo
December 31, 202670%YesNo
November 30, 202655%YesNo
1.8T+86%YesNo
1.5–1.8T9%YesNo





