This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.
This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.
Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.
This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
Mike Lee
$5.4K Volume
35%
Ruben Gallego
$7.6K Volume
33%
Alex Padilla
$1.2K Volume
29%
Catherine Cortez Masto
$2.7K Volume
19%
Thom Tillis
$7K Volume
37%
Jacky Rosen
$4.5K Volume
34%
Lisa Blunt Rochester
$2.3K Volume
23%
Josh Hawley
$4.4K Volume
23%
Mark Warner
$1.7K Volume
28%
Andy Kim
$349 Volume
19%
Jerry Moran
$6.4K Volume
17%
Rand Paul
$158 Volume
75%
Kirsten Gillibrand
$424 Volume
43%
Raphael Warnock
$1.1K Volume
76%
John Fetterman
$982 Volume
78%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Even the leader is cheap - Rand Paul trades at 41%, John Fetterman at 41%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Right now the market's best guess is Rand Paul at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Traders have put $46.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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