On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Before August 31
$39 Volume
73%
September 7–13
73%
September 14–20
73%
September 21–27
73%
September 28–October 4
73%
October 5–11
73%
October 12–18
71%
October 19–25
53%
October 26–November 1
73%
Not released by November 1
49%
August 31–September 6
73%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
Even the leader is cheap - September 14–20 trades at 42%, September 28–October 4 at 42%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
No strong consensus yet: September 14–20 tops the implied probabilities at just 42%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Which week will OpenAI release Astra market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Nov 2026 (69 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
$39 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which week will OpenAI release Astra on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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