This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 17%, with No at 83%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Traders have put $6 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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