This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 2%, while No trades at 98%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Total turnover stands at $1.1M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
December 3150%
December 31, 20263%
Rand Paul51%YesNo
John Fetterman41%YesNo
Above 5045%YesNo
Above 5538%YesNo
