Culture · Science

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$11K Volume
01/01/2028 04:59
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December 31, 2026
$5.4K Volume
2%
December 31, 2027
$5.6K Volume
15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Riemann Hypothesis, or otherwise officially declares the Riemann Hypothesis solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
The field is wide open: December 31, 2027 tops it at just 15%, with December 31, 2026 close behind at 1%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31, 2027 at 15% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___ market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2028 (495 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
$11K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___ on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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