This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31, 2026
$92.1K Volume
9%
Resolved 2
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31
$250.3K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$190.9K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Israel annex any territory by?
The market prices Yes at only 8%, with No at 93%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Israel annex any territory by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Israel annex any territory by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Israel annex any territory by?
Total turnover stands at $533.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Israel annex any territory by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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