Israel · Politics

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

$3.5K Volume
27/10/2026 23:59
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Yes is trading at 93%, leaving No at just 7% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Traders price Yes at a 93% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will Israel election happen as scheduled market resolve?
Mark 27 Oct 2026 (64 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Traders have put $3.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Israel election happen as scheduled on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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