Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Politics
· Elections
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Yes is the outsider here at 27%, while No trades at 74%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 27%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (70 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Total turnover stands at $1.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
James Talarico (D)50%YesNo
Ken Paxton (R)50%YesNo
Democrats Sweep48%YesNo
R Senate, D House39%YesNo
Democratic Party88%YesNo
Republican Party13%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%YesNo
Mike Rogers (R)39%YesNo
Democratic Party50%YesNoRepublican Party50%YesNo
Ashley Moody (R)92%YesNo
Angie Nixon (D)8%YesNo
Democratic Party95%YesNo
Republican Party3%YesNo
Byron Donalds (R) 79%YesNo
David Jolly (D)23%YesNo
