Tariffs · Politics

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? (Resolved)

$1.9M Volume
31/12/2025 00:00
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Yes
$1.9M Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.

A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

When does the Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $1.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

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