🔬 Marchés de prédiction : Tech & Science

59 marchés actifs

Tech & Science prediction markets — AI, space and technology

La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceXSpaceX65%OuiNon
AnthropicAnthropic36%OuiNon
$5,5 M Vol 31/12
Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils que les extraterrestres existent d'ici... ?Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils que les extraterrestres existent d'ici... ?
December 314%OuiNon
September 301%OuiNon
$65,5 M Vol 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%OuiNon
September 3091%OuiNon
$5,1 k Vol 01/07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
de chance
Oui Non
$3,9 k Vol 31/12
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2043%OuiNon
20 to 3439%OuiNon
$3 k Vol 31/03
Précipitations à Hong Kong en août ?Précipitations à Hong Kong en août ?
<425mm80%OuiNon
475-500mm15%OuiNon
$9,8 k Vol 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%OuiNon
225%OuiNon
$3,4 M Vol 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%OuiNon
↑3.5k95%OuiNon
$1,8 k Vol 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
de chance
Oui Non
$39,9 k Vol 30/06
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 k Vol 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%OuiNon
100–11936%OuiNon
$6 k Vol 01/09
Nouvelle pandémie en 2026 ? Nouvelle pandémie en 2026 ?
6%
de chance
Oui Non
$621 Vol 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2800+85%OuiNon
2825+83%OuiNon
$1,8 k Vol 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 k Vol 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<564%OuiNon
5-634%OuiNon
$499 Vol 31/12
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%
de chance
Oui Non
$307,4 k Vol 31/12
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%OuiNon
15,000+99%OuiNon
$458 Vol 31/08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
de chance
Oui Non
$144,5 k Vol 31/03
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$811,4 k Vol 31/12
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%OuiNon
1412%OuiNon
$335 Vol 31/08
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.38–1.41ºC46%OuiNon
1.42–1.45ºC21%OuiNon
$3,3 k Vol 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
de chance
Oui Non
$116,6 k Vol 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1643%OuiNon
17–1936%OuiNon
$250 Vol 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$11,5 k Vol 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%OuiNon
December 31, 202732%OuiNon
$1,9 k Vol 01/01
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
15%
de chance
Oui Non
$340,8 k Vol 31/12
Précipitations à Seoul en août ?Précipitations à Seoul en août ?
250-300mm45%OuiNon
<150mm44%OuiNon
$373 Vol 01/09
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
de chance
Oui Non
$241,7 k Vol 31/12
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
063%OuiNon
126%OuiNon
$1,2 M Vol 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$11 k Vol 01/01
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
de chance
Oui Non
$10,7 k Vol 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
de chance
Oui Non
$578,7 k Vol 31/12
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
de chance
Oui Non
$196 k Vol 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
de chance
Oui Non
$139,5 k Vol 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%OuiNon
June 30, 202754%OuiNon
$935,7 k Vol 01/01
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
de chance
Oui Non
$8,9 k Vol 31/12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
de chance
Oui Non
$10 Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
de chance
Oui Non
$8 Vol 31/12
Précipitations à Seattle en août ?Précipitations à Seattle en août ?
moins de 0.5"moins de 0.5"89%OuiNon
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%OuiNon
$234 Vol 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%OuiNon
160-17936%OuiNon
$335 Vol 31/12
Précipitations à Londres en août ?Précipitations à Londres en août ?
<30mm60%OuiNon
30-40mm34%OuiNon
$7,6 k Vol 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
de chance
Oui Non
$650 Vol 31/12
Précipitations à NYC en août ?Précipitations à NYC en août ?
plus de 6"plus de 6"66%OuiNon
4-5"4-5"3%OuiNon
$2,5 k Vol 01/09
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
2900+93%
3000+91%
$1,8 k Vol 30/09
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
de chance
Oui Non
$101,8 k Vol 31/12
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$23,4 k Vol 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$2 M Vol 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 k Vol 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%OuiNon
1200–12496%OuiNon
$81,9 k Vol 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$16,5 k Vol 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
de chance
Oui Non
$2,6 k Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
de chance
Oui Non
$8 Vol 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
October 31October 3169%OuiNon
December 31December 3162%OuiNon
$4,7 k Vol
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31October 3147%OuiNon
August 30August 3042%OuiNon
$1,4 k Vol 01/01
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%OuiNon
2nd hottest1%OuiNon
$1,8 k Vol 01/09
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202653%OuiNon
September 30, 202619%OuiNon
$1,9 k Vol 01/11
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
de chance
Oui Non
$1,1 k Vol 01/10
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%OuiNon
8.0 – 8.19%OuiNon
$2,4 k Vol 04/01
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$425 Vol 31/12
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