🔬 Pasar Prediksi: Teknologi & Sains

59 pasar aktif

Tech & Science prediction markets — AI, space and technology

IPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada 2026?IPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX65%YaTidak
AnthropicAnthropic36%YaTidak
$5,5 jt Volume 31/12
Akankah AS mengonfirmasi keberadaan alien pada...?Akankah AS mengonfirmasi keberadaan alien pada...?
December 314%YaTidak
September 301%YaTidak
$65,5 jt Volume 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%YaTidak
September 3091%YaTidak
$5,1 rb Volume 01/07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$3,9 rb Volume 31/12
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2043%YaTidak
20 to 3439%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/03
Curah hujan di Hong Kong pada Agustus?Curah hujan di Hong Kong pada Agustus?
<425mm80%YaTidak
475-500mm15%YaTidak
$9,8 rb Volume 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%YaTidak
225%YaTidak
$3,4 jt Volume 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%YaTidak
↑3.5k95%YaTidak
$1,8 rb Volume 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$39,9 rb Volume 30/06
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 rb Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%YaTidak
100–11936%YaTidak
$6 rb Volume 01/09
Pandemi baru di 2026? Pandemi baru di 2026?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$621 Volume 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2800+85%YaTidak
2825+83%YaTidak
$1,8 rb Volume 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 rb Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<564%YaTidak
5-634%YaTidak
$499 Volume 31/12
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$307,4 rb Volume 31/12
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%YaTidak
15,000+99%YaTidak
$458 Volume 31/08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$144,5 rb Volume 31/03
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$811,4 rb Volume 31/12
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%YaTidak
1412%YaTidak
$335 Volume 31/08
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.38–1.41ºC46%YaTidak
1.42–1.45ºC21%YaTidak
$3,3 rb Volume 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$116,6 rb Volume 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1643%YaTidak
17–1936%YaTidak
$250 Volume 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$11,5 rb Volume 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%YaTidak
December 31, 202732%YaTidak
$1,9 rb Volume 01/01
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
15%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$340,8 rb Volume 31/12
Curah hujan di Seoul pada Agustus?Curah hujan di Seoul pada Agustus?
250-300mm45%YaTidak
<150mm44%YaTidak
$373 Volume 01/09
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$241,7 rb Volume 31/12
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
063%YaTidak
126%YaTidak
$1,2 jt Volume 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$11 rb Volume 01/01
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10,7 rb Volume 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$578,7 rb Volume 31/12
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$196 rb Volume 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$139,5 rb Volume 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%YaTidak
June 30, 202754%YaTidak
$935,7 rb Volume 01/01
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8,9 rb Volume 31/12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10 Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8 Volume 31/12
Curah hujan di Seattle pada Agustus?Curah hujan di Seattle pada Agustus?
kurang dari 0.5"kurang dari 0.5"89%YaTidak
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%YaTidak
$234 Volume 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%YaTidak
160-17936%YaTidak
$335 Volume 31/12
Curah hujan di London pada Agustus?Curah hujan di London pada Agustus?
<30mm60%YaTidak
30-40mm34%YaTidak
$7,6 rb Volume 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$650 Volume 31/12
Curah hujan di NYC pada Agustus?Curah hujan di NYC pada Agustus?
lebih dari 6"lebih dari 6"66%YaTidak
4-5"4-5"3%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 01/09
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
2900+93%
3000+91%
$1,8 rb Volume 30/09
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$101,8 rb Volume 31/12
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$23,4 rb Volume 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2 jt Volume 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 rb Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%YaTidak
1200–12496%YaTidak
$81,9 rb Volume 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$16,5 rb Volume 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2,6 rb Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8 Volume 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
October 31October 3169%YaTidak
December 31December 3162%YaTidak
$4,7 rb Volume
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31October 3147%YaTidak
August 30August 3042%YaTidak
$1,4 rb Volume 01/01
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%YaTidak
2nd hottest1%YaTidak
$1,8 rb Volume 01/09
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202653%YaTidak
September 30, 202619%YaTidak
$1,9 rb Volume 01/11
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,1 rb Volume 01/10
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%YaTidak
8.0 – 8.19%YaTidak
$2,4 rb Volume 04/01
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$425 Volume 31/12
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