이스라엘 예측 시장

이스라엘 예측 시장은 선거 결과, 연합 구성, 총리 임기, 안보 및 전쟁 사건, 거시 경제 발전과 같은 주요 시나리오를 다룹니다. 폴리마켓은 호가창 깊이에 따라 실시간으로 가격을 책정합니다.

이 시장은 결정 날짜(선거일, 안보 내각 회의, 정부 회의) 주위에서 특히 활발합니다. 거래량은 사건에 대한 글로벌 관심을 반영합니다.

71 활성 시장
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%예아니오
August 25August 2599%예아니오
$250.5만 거래량 30/09
미국, 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할까? 미국, 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할까?
17%
확률
예 아니오
$8.5만 거래량 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%예아니오
September 3089%예아니오
$2,626.5만 거래량 31/08
다음 선거 후 이스라엘의 다음 총리는 누구인가?다음 선거 후 이스라엘의 다음 총리는 누구인가?
가디 아이젠코트가디 아이젠코트58%예아니오
베냐민 네타냐후베냐민 네타냐후27%예아니오
$3,296.8만 거래량 31/12
이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까? 이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까?
7%
확률
예 아니오
$7.9만 거래량 31/12
이스라엘, 공역을 폐쇄할까...?이스라엘, 공역을 폐쇄할까...?
September 308%예아니오
August 312%예아니오
$2,737.9만 거래량 01/10
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%예아니오
October 3113%예아니오
$684.6만 거래량 01/01
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%예아니오
September 3093%예아니오
$35.7만 거래량 01/01
Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 3149%예아니오
May 311%예아니오
$5,963 거래량 01/01
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
사우디아라비아사우디아라비아10%예아니오
VenezuelaVenezuela10%예아니오
$4,234 거래량 31/12
이스라엘이 레바논에서 철수한다...?이스라엘이 레바논에서 철수한다...?
December 3110%예아니오
September 302%예아니오
$840.2만 거래량 01/01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%예아니오
November 3050%예아니오
$361.9만 거래량 01/01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 3078%예아니오
September 1546%예아니오
$2,938 거래량 01/10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%예아니오
September 307%예아니오
$2,313 거래량 01/01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
확률
예 아니오
$1,704 거래량 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%예아니오
513%예아니오
$1,652 거래량 31/12
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
확률
예 아니오
$1,748 거래량 31/08
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%예아니오
September 302%예아니오
$2.2만 거래량 01/01
Bank of Israel Decision in September?Bank of Israel Decision in September?
No Change90%예아니오
Decrease9%예아니오
$2,187 거래량 01/09
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
September 3012%예아니오
August 312%예아니오
$19만 거래량 31/08
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-2935%예아니오
20-2431%예아니오
$10.6만 거래량 27/10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
확률
예 아니오
$1,748 거래량 31/12
How many Israeli elections before government formed?How many Israeli elections before government formed?
171%예아니오
218%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 31/12
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
22%
확률
예 아니오
$3,733 거래량 27/10
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 316%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$30.6만 거래량 31/08
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%예아니오
Likud31%예아니오
$2.9만 거래량 28/10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%예아니오
March 311%예아니오
$294 거래량 01/01
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%예아니오
August 311%예아니오
$173.7만 거래량 01/01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
확률
예 아니오
$146 거래량 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland16%예아니오
Lebanon9%예아니오
$143 거래량 31/12
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
16%
확률
예 아니오
$9,710 거래량 31/12
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
23%
확률
예 아니오
$1,410 거래량 08/09
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud53%예아니오
YasharYashar46%예아니오
$23.7만 거래량 27/10
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%예아니오
December 3150%예아니오
$288.4만 거래량 01/01
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%예아니오
August 311%예아니오
$116만 거래량
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$55 거래량 31/12
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20269%예아니오
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%예아니오
$53.3만 거래량 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3111%예아니오
May 312%예아니오
$34.2만 거래량 31/08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$19.4만 거래량 31/12
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
확률
예 아니오
$30 거래량 31/12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%예아니오
December 3150%예아니오
$406.3만 거래량 01/01
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
벨기에벨기에17%예아니오
FinlandFinland13%예아니오
$28 거래량 31/12
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
June 301%예아니오
August 311%예아니오
$13.7만 거래량 31/08
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
91%
확률
예 아니오
$3,031 거래량 27/10
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%예아니오
July 312%예아니오
$10.1만 거래량 31/08
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
49%
확률
예 아니오
$611 거래량 31/12
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 304%
$14만 거래량 01/10
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$212.3만 거래량 01/01
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 315%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$11 거래량 31/08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 3110%예아니오
May 312%예아니오
$16.6만 거래량 31/08
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
17%
확률
예 아니오
$6 거래량 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%예아니오
June 301%예아니오
$2,182.5만 거래량 01/01
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$7,109 거래량 31/12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$14.2만 거래량 01/01
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%예아니오
December 31, 20268%예아니오
$94만 거래량 01/01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$349.7만 거래량 01/01
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
확률
예 아니오
$9만 거래량 31/12
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
5%
확률
예 아니오
$3,021 거래량 31/12
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$18.6만 거래량 31/12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
11%
확률
예 아니오
$23.6만 거래량 31/12
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
39%
확률
예 아니오
$1,499 거래량 31/12
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$47.8만 거래량 01/01
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
94%
확률
예 아니오
$1.4만 거래량 27/10
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?
June 30, 20261%
August 31, 20261%
$9.6만 거래량 01/09
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
12%
확률
예 아니오
$1,148 거래량 31/12
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
20%
확률
예 아니오
$9.9만 거래량 31/12
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
7%
확률
예 아니오
$1,972 거래량 30/09
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
15%
확률
예 아니오
$484 거래량 31/12
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
December 3117%예아니오
April 302%예아니오
$5.3만 거래량 01/01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
확률
예 아니오
$5.4만 거래량 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$11.8만 거래량 01/01
폴리마켓에서 더 보기 →

이스라엘 시장 FAQ

폴리마켓에서 어떤 이스라엘 시장이 존재하나요?

선거 시장(누가 이기는가? 의석 수), 연합 형성, 총리 행동, 안보 사건 및 경제 결정(금리 인하, 법률 변경). 이진 및 다중 결과 계약.

이스라엘 시장 가격은 무엇에 의해 움직이나요?

여론 조사, 정치적 발언, 안보 발전 및 언론 보도. 가격은 중요한 뉴스에 몇 분 내에 반응합니다.

이스라엘에서 거래할 수 있나요?

네, 폴리마켓의 폴리곤 계정을 통해 가능합니다. 저희 사이트에서 실시간 시장을 추적하고 추천 링크를 통해 계정을 개설하세요.

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