以色列预测市场

以色列预测市场涵盖中央场景：选举结果、联盟组成、总理任期、安全与战争事件以及宏观经济发展。Polymarket 根据订单簿深度实时定价。

这些市场在决策日期（如选举日、安全内阁会议、政府会议）特别活跃。交易量反映了全球对这些事件的关注。

71 活跃市场
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%是否
August 25August 2599%是否
$250.5万 成交量 30/09
美国会在2027年前入侵伊朗吗？ 美国会在2027年前入侵伊朗吗？
17%
概率
是 否
$8.5万 成交量 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%是否
September 3089%是否
$2,626.5万 成交量 31/08
以色列下次选举后，谁将成为下任总理？以色列下次选举后，谁将成为下任总理？
加迪·埃伊森科特加迪·埃伊森科特58%是否
本杰明·内塔尼亚胡本杰明·内塔尼亚胡27%是否
$3,296.8万 成交量 31/12
伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗？ 伊朗政权会在2027年前垮台吗？
7%
概率
是 否
$7.9万 成交量 31/12
以色列将在...关闭其空域吗？以色列将在...关闭其空域吗？
September 308%是否
August 312%是否
$2,737.9万 成交量 01/10
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%是否
October 3113%是否
$684.6万 成交量 01/01
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%是否
September 3093%是否
$35.7万 成交量 01/01
Netanyahu会在...前下台吗？Netanyahu会在...前下台吗？
December 3149%是否
May 311%是否
$5,963 成交量 01/01
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
沙特阿拉伯沙特阿拉伯10%是否
VenezuelaVenezuela10%是否
$4,234 成交量 31/12
以色列将在...之前撤出黎巴嫩...?以色列将在...之前撤出黎巴嫩...?
December 3110%是否
September 302%是否
$840.2万 成交量 01/01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%是否
November 3050%是否
$361.9万 成交量 01/01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 3078%是否
September 1546%是否
$2,938 成交量 01/10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%是否
September 307%是否
$2,313 成交量 01/01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
概率
是 否
$1,704 成交量 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%是否
513%是否
$1,652 成交量 31/12
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
概率
是 否
$1,748 成交量 31/08
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%是否
September 302%是否
$2.2万 成交量 01/01
Bank of Israel Decision in September?Bank of Israel Decision in September?
No Change90%是否
Decrease9%是否
$2,187 成交量 01/09
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
September 3012%是否
August 312%是否
$19万 成交量 31/08
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-2935%是否
20-2431%是否
$10.6万 成交量 27/10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
概率
是 否
$1,748 成交量 31/12
How many Israeli elections before government formed?How many Israeli elections before government formed?
171%是否
218%是否
$1.5万 成交量 31/12
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
22%
概率
是 否
$3,733 成交量 27/10
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 316%是否
July 311%是否
$30.6万 成交量 31/08
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%是否
Likud31%是否
$2.9万 成交量 28/10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%是否
March 311%是否
$294 成交量 01/01
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%是否
August 311%是否
$173.7万 成交量 01/01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
概率
是 否
$146 成交量 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland16%是否
Lebanon9%是否
$143 成交量 31/12
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
16%
概率
是 否
$9,710 成交量 31/12
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
23%
概率
是 否
$1,410 成交量 08/09
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud53%是否
YasharYashar46%是否
$23.7万 成交量 27/10
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%是否
December 3150%是否
$288.4万 成交量 01/01
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%是否
August 311%是否
$116万 成交量
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
概率
是 否
$55 成交量 31/12
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20269%是否
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%是否
$53.3万 成交量 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3111%是否
May 312%是否
$34.2万 成交量 31/08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
概率
是 否
$19.4万 成交量 31/12
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
概率
是 否
$30 成交量 31/12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%是否
December 3150%是否
$406.3万 成交量 01/01
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
比利时比利时17%是否
FinlandFinland13%是否
$28 成交量 31/12
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
June 301%是否
August 311%是否
$13.7万 成交量 31/08
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
91%
概率
是 否
$3,031 成交量 27/10
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%是否
July 312%是否
$10.1万 成交量 31/08
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
49%
概率
是 否
$611 成交量 31/12
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 304%
$14万 成交量 01/10
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$212.3万 成交量 01/01
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 315%是否
July 311%是否
$11 成交量 31/08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 3110%是否
May 312%是否
$16.6万 成交量 31/08
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
17%
概率
是 否
$6 成交量 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%是否
June 301%是否
$2,182.5万 成交量 01/01
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
1%
概率
是 否
$7,109 成交量 31/12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$14.2万 成交量 01/01
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%是否
December 31, 20268%是否
$94万 成交量 01/01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$349.7万 成交量 01/01
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
概率
是 否
$9万 成交量 31/12
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$3,021 成交量 31/12
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
8%
概率
是 否
$18.6万 成交量 31/12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
11%
概率
是 否
$23.6万 成交量 31/12
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
39%
概率
是 否
$1,499 成交量 31/12
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$47.8万 成交量 01/01
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
94%
概率
是 否
$1.4万 成交量 27/10
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?
June 30, 20261%
August 31, 20261%
$9.6万 成交量 01/09
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
12%
概率
是 否
$1,148 成交量 31/12
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
20%
概率
是 否
$9.9万 成交量 31/12
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
7%
概率
是 否
$1,972 成交量 30/09
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
15%
概率
是 否
$484 成交量 31/12
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
December 3117%是否
April 302%是否
$5.3万 成交量 01/01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
概率
是 否
$5.4万 成交量 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$11.8万 成交量 01/01
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以色列市场常见问题

Polymarket 上有哪些以色列市场？

选举市场（谁会获胜？席位数）、联盟形成、总理行动、安全事件和经济决策（降息、法律变更）。二元和多结果合约。

是什么影响以色列市场价格？

民调、政治声明、安全发展和媒体报道。价格在几分钟内对重大新闻做出反应。

我可以从以色列进行交易吗？

可以，通过 Polymarket 的 Polygon 账户。请在我们的网站上跟踪实时市场，并通过我们的推荐链接开设账户。

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