🔬 Mercados de Previsão: Tecnologia e Ciência

59 mercados ativos

Tech & Science prediction markets — AI, space and technology

Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX65%SimNão
AnthropicAnthropic36%SimNão
$5,5 mi Volume 31/12
Os EUA confirmarão que alienígenas existem até...?Os EUA confirmarão que alienígenas existem até...?
December 314%SimNão
September 301%SimNão
$65,5 mi Volume 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%SimNão
September 3091%SimNão
$5,1 mil Volume 01/07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
chance
Sim Não
$3,9 mil Volume 31/12
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2043%SimNão
20 to 3439%SimNão
$3 mil Volume 31/03
Precipitação em Hong Kong em agosto?Precipitação em Hong Kong em agosto?
<425mm80%SimNão
475-500mm15%SimNão
$9,8 mil Volume 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%SimNão
225%SimNão
$3,4 mi Volume 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%SimNão
↑3.5k95%SimNão
$1,8 mil Volume 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
chance
Sim Não
$39,9 mil Volume 30/06
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 mil Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%SimNão
100–11936%SimNão
$6 mil Volume 01/09
Nova pandemia em 2026? Nova pandemia em 2026?
6%
chance
Sim Não
$621 Volume 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2800+85%SimNão
2825+83%SimNão
$1,8 mil Volume 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 mil Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<564%SimNão
5-634%SimNão
$499 Volume 31/12
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%
chance
Sim Não
$307,4 mil Volume 31/12
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%SimNão
15,000+99%SimNão
$458 Volume 31/08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
chance
Sim Não
$144,5 mil Volume 31/03
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$811,4 mil Volume 31/12
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%SimNão
1412%SimNão
$335 Volume 31/08
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.38–1.41ºC46%SimNão
1.42–1.45ºC21%SimNão
$3,3 mil Volume 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
chance
Sim Não
$116,6 mil Volume 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1643%SimNão
17–1936%SimNão
$250 Volume 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
chance
Sim Não
$11,5 mil Volume 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%SimNão
December 31, 202732%SimNão
$1,9 mil Volume 01/01
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
15%
chance
Sim Não
$340,8 mil Volume 31/12
Precipitação em Seul em agosto?Precipitação em Seul em agosto?
250-300mm45%SimNão
<150mm44%SimNão
$373 Volume 01/09
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
chance
Sim Não
$241,7 mil Volume 31/12
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
063%SimNão
126%SimNão
$1,2 mi Volume 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$11 mil Volume 01/01
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
chance
Sim Não
$10,7 mil Volume 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
chance
Sim Não
$578,7 mil Volume 31/12
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
chance
Sim Não
$196 mil Volume 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
chance
Sim Não
$139,5 mil Volume 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%SimNão
June 30, 202754%SimNão
$935,7 mil Volume 01/01
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
chance
Sim Não
$8,9 mil Volume 31/12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
chance
Sim Não
$10 Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
chance
Sim Não
$8 Volume 31/12
Precipitação em Seattle em agosto?Precipitação em Seattle em agosto?
menos de 0.5"menos de 0.5"89%SimNão
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%SimNão
$234 Volume 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%SimNão
160-17936%SimNão
$335 Volume 31/12
Precipitação em Londres em agosto?Precipitação em Londres em agosto?
<30mm60%SimNão
30-40mm34%SimNão
$7,6 mil Volume 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
chance
Sim Não
$650 Volume 31/12
Precipitação em Nova York em agosto?Precipitação em Nova York em agosto?
mais de 6"mais de 6"66%SimNão
4-5"4-5"3%SimNão
$2,5 mil Volume 01/09
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
2900+93%
3000+91%
$1,8 mil Volume 30/09
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
chance
Sim Não
$101,8 mil Volume 31/12
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
chance
Sim Não
$23,4 mil Volume 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$2 mi Volume 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 mil Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%SimNão
1200–12496%SimNão
$81,9 mil Volume 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
chance
Sim Não
$16,5 mil Volume 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
chance
Sim Não
$2,6 mil Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
chance
Sim Não
$8 Volume 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
October 31October 3169%SimNão
December 31December 3162%SimNão
$4,7 mil Volume
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31October 3147%SimNão
August 30August 3042%SimNão
$1,4 mil Volume 01/01
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%SimNão
2nd hottest1%SimNão
$1,8 mil Volume 01/09
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202653%SimNão
September 30, 202619%SimNão
$1,9 mil Volume 01/11
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
chance
Sim Não
$1,1 mil Volume 01/10
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%SimNão
8.0 – 8.19%SimNão
$2,4 mil Volume 04/01
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$425 Volume 31/12
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