Wahlen Vorhersagemärkte

Wahlmärkte sind das Herzstück von Polymarket: US-Präsidentschaftswahlen, Parteivorwahlen, Kongresswahlen und jede Abstimmung in einer großen Demokratie. Die Wahlmärkte für die USA 2024 verzeichneten Milliarden an Volumen.

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78 aktive Märkte
Republikanischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028Republikanischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%JaNein
$691,1 Mio. Vol 07/11
Nächste Französische PräsidentschaftswahlNächste Französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%JaNein
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%JaNein
$121,6 Mio. Vol 30/04
Präsidentschaftswahl in BrasilienPräsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%JaNein
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro34%JaNein
$132,2 Mio. Vol 04/10
Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl 2028Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%JaNein
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%JaNein
$692,2 Mio. Vol 07/11
Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez21%JaNein
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%JaNein
$1,3 Mrd. Vol 07/11
Welche Partei wird bei der russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?Welche Partei wird bei der russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)72%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)22%JaNein
$21,8 Mio. Vol 20/09
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson91%JaNein
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%JaNein
$4 Mio. Vol 13/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone65%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman35%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%JaNein
September 3089%JaNein
$26,3 Mio. Vol 31/08
Wer wird der nächste Premierminister Israels nach der nächsten Wahl sein?Wer wird der nächste Premierminister Israels nach der nächsten Wahl sein?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot55%JaNein
Benjamin NetanjahuBenjamin Netanjahu26%JaNein
$33 Mio. Vol 31/12
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%JaNein
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)50%JaNein
$915,5 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%JaNein
R Senate, D House39%JaNein
$10,4 Mio. Vol 03/11
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$128,2 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%JaNein
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%JaNein
$419,1 Tsd. Vol 05/10
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33941%JaNein
340–35422%JaNein
$211,2 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)61%JaNein
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%JaNein
$587,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%JaNein
$14,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%JaNein
Brett Smiley46%JaNein
$22,6 Tsd. Vol 09/09
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%JaNein
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%JaNein
$149,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço78%JaNein
Lorenzo Pazolini16%JaNein
$30,4 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%JaNein
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%JaNein
$39,2 Tsd. Vol 08/09
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%JaNein
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 20/09
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%JaNein
September 3093%JaNein
$356,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%JaNein
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud89%JaNein
$312,5 Tsd. Vol 17/04
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu70%JaNein
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%JaNein
$113,7 Tsd. Vol 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%JaNein
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto17%JaNein
$16,7 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira43%JaNein
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro21%JaNein
$20,7 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%JaNein
121-12423%JaNein
$10,8 Tsd. Vol 12/10
Colima Governor Election WinnerColima Governor Election Winner
Rosa María Bayardo CabreraRosa María Bayardo Cabrera57%JaNein
Griselda Martínez MartínezGriselda Martínez Martínez10%JaNein
$27,5 Tsd. Vol 06/06
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães41%JaNein
GaguimGaguim40%JaNein
$17 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha57%JaNein
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior40%JaNein
$15,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy48%JaNein
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva48%JaNein
$25,2 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%JaNein
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva5%JaNein
$5,2 Mio. Vol 04/10
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$29,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva53%JaNein
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%JaNein
$21 Tsd. Vol 06/06
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party3%JaNein
$49,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo38%JaNein
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%JaNein
$23,1 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%63%JaNein
7-9%25%JaNein
$14,8 Tsd. Vol 13/09
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%JaNein
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath48%JaNein
$31,5 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?
December 3149%JaNein
May 311%JaNein
$7,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil75%JaNein
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé24%JaNein
$42,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira48%JaNein
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro39%JaNein
$31,8 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke58%JaNein
CDUCDU26%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 20/09
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes54%JaNein
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta44%JaNein
$15,5 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%JaNein
Sergio Sullca CondoriSergio Sullca Condori28%JaNein
$18,5 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%JaNein
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%JaNein
$485,9 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Florida Senate Election WinnerFlorida Senate Election Winner
Ashley Moody (R)Ashley Moody (R)92%JaNein
Angie Nixon (D)Angie Nixon (D)8%JaNein
$94,8 Tsd. Vol
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%JaNein
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)47%JaNein
$183,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
59%
Chance
Ja Nein
$168,2 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez30%JaNein
Agustín Villarreal GranadosAgustín Villarreal Granados26%JaNein
$7,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
São Paulo Senate Election: 1st PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite46%JaNein
Simone TebetSimone Tebet31%JaNein
$24,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas92%JaNein
Jim PriestJim Priest8%JaNein
$118,9 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite35%JaNein
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%JaNein
$23,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$38,3 Tsd. Vol 03/11
NC-12 House Election WinnerNC-12 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party3%JaNein
$63,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%49%JaNein
5-7%42%JaNein
$8,2 Tsd. Vol 06/09
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa45%JaNein
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%JaNein
$19,5 Tsd. Vol 04/10
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$67,1 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS49%JaNein
SV26%JaNein
$197,6 Tsd. Vol 03/10
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary WinnerOklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike MazzeiMike Mazzei79%JaNein
Gentner DrummondGentner Drummond21%JaNein
$529,7 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$39,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
38%
Chance
Ja Nein
$373,9 Tsd. Vol 06/09
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%JaNein
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon50%JaNein
$93,3 Tsd. Vol 30/04
Florida Governor Election WinnerFlorida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R)Byron Donalds (R)80%JaNein
David Jolly (D)David Jolly (D)22%JaNein
$55,7 Tsd. Vol 03/11
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%JaNein
59-6129%JaNein
$7,2 Tsd. Vol 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Andrés Eliseo Risueño PortugalAndrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal31%JaNein
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%JaNein
$8 Tsd. Vol 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%JaNein
Democratic Party5%JaNein
$42,3 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%JaNein
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick6%JaNein
$5,4 Tsd. Vol 06/02
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNein
4914%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 03/11
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Zukan HelezZukan Helez37%JaNein
Sabina ĆudićSabina Ćudić27%JaNein
$66,8 Tsd. Vol
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos48%JaNein
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana13%JaNein
$17,5 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy28%JaNein
Pedro PauloPedro Paulo21%JaNein
$27,1 Tsd. Vol 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone78%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%JaNein
$14,3 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
49%
Chance
Ja Nein
$33,5 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$260,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%JaNein
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%JaNein
$210,6 Tsd. Vol 11/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour68%JaNein
Olivier Faure59%JaNein
$70,8 Tsd. Vol 23/04
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni45%JaNein
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro39%JaNein
$10,1 Tsd. Vol 04/10
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