A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Lula
$3.1K Volume
89%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1.4K Volume
11%
Renan Santos
$428 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$355 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$367 Volume
1%
Zema
$416 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$426 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$449 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$390 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$580 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$580 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$475 Volume
1%
Samara
$365 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas?
At 89%, Lula has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas?
Traders price Lula at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas?
Traders have put $9.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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