A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9.6K Volume
83%
Ronaldo Caiado
$343 Volume
1%
Lula
$7.7K Volume
12%
Clariana Barao
$565 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$532 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$559 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$504 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$533 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$1.6K Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$546 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$284 Volume
1%
Samara
$500 Volume
1%
Zema
$591 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District?
Flavio Bolsonaro leads the field at 82%, with Candidate A next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District?
The market makes Flavio Bolsonaro the favorite at 82%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District?
Total turnover stands at $23.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%YesNo
Eduardo Paes95%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Benedita da Silva66%YesNo
Carlos Jordy29%YesNo
Weverton Rocha37%YesNo
Fufuca28%YesNo
Professora Dorinha61%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior39%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães47%YesNo
Gaguim34%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNo
Simone Tebet23%YesNo
