A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lula
$7K Volume
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$771 Volume
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$313 Volume
2%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$463 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$533 Volume
1%
Zema
$406 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$424 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$526 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$407 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$474 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$426 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$525 Volume
1%
Samara
$539 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará?
At 95%, Lula has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará?
Traders price Lula at a 95% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará?
Total turnover stands at $12.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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