A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3K Volume
65%
Lula
$1K Volume
35%
Edmilson Costa
$292 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$287 Volume
1%
Samara
$292 Volume
1%
Zema
$283 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$295 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$377 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$396 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$319 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$485 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$357 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$375 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul?
No runaway leader here - Flavio Bolsonaro at 65% versus Candidate A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul?
Traders give Flavio Bolsonaro a 65% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul?
Traders have put $7.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%YesNo
Weverton Rocha32%YesNo
Fufuca21%YesNo
Benedita da Silva66%YesNo
Carlos Jordy17%YesNo
Professora Dorinha61%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior40%YesNo
Eduardo Paes94%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Simone Tebet33%YesNo
Marina Silva30%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNoSimone Tebet23%YesNo
