A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3.4K Volume
90%
Zema
$404 Volume
1%
Lula
$1.2K Volume
11%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$465 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$398 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$398 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$393 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$373 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$509 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$349 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$399 Volume
1%
Samara
$390 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$365 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
Flavio Bolsonaro dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
With 89% implied for Flavio Bolsonaro, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
$9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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