A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lula
$7.3K Volume
97%
Clariana Barao
$959 Volume
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$541 Volume
3%
Edmilson Costa
$486 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$470 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$486 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$470 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$492 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$498 Volume
1%
Samara
$469 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$478 Volume
1%
Zema
$331 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe?
At 96%, Lula has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe?
With 96% implied for Lula, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe?
Total turnover stands at $13.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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