This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
16°C or below
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
It's a genuine race: 16°C or below edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of 17°C at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
At 50% implied for 16°C or below, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28 market resolve?
Mark 28 Aug 2026 (3 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
$2.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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