Politics · Lebanon

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

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$1.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Yes is the outsider here at 12%, while No trades at 89%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 12% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

$1.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.