This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
August 31, 2026
$1.4K Volume
6%
September 15, 2026
$46 Volume
82%
September 30, 2026
$5.5K Volume
94%
December 31, 2026
$2.1K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Kimi K model released by?
At 98%, December 31, 2026 has pulled far clear of September 30, 2026 (93%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Next Kimi K model released by?
Traders price December 31, 2026 at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Next Kimi K model released by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Next Kimi K model released by?
Total turnover stands at $9.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Next Kimi K model released by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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