This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between North Korea and South Korea by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries is separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of North Korea and South Korea and a consensus of credible reporting.
Politics
· North Korea
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
August 31
$794 Volume
3%
December 31
$179 Volume
54%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 33%, with August 31 close behind at 2%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 33%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)?
Total turnover stands at $973. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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