This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
North Korea
· Foreign Policy
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
Past
December 31
$33.9K Volume
31%
Resolved 1
June 30
$83.8K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by?
The market prices Yes at only 26%, with No at 75%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 26% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by?
$117.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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