This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Gov Shutdown for 10+ days
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election
- LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election
- Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Insurrection Act invoked
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf
Yes
$90.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Nothing Ever Happens: February (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Nothing Ever Happens: February (Resolved)?
Traders have put $366 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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