This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Another US government shutdown
- Fed Rate Cut
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela
- U.S. invades a Latin American country
- US strike on Cuba
- US strike on Colombia
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf
Yes
$388.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Nothing Ever Happens: January (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Nothing Ever Happens: January (Resolved)?
Traders have put $840 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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