This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Increase
$12.7K Volume
98%
No Change
$16.2K Volume
4%
Decrease
$2.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Increase dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, No Change, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
With 97% implied for Increase, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September market resolve?
Mark 2 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Traders have put $3.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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