This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Anthropic
$6.7K Volume
87%
Meta
$229 Volume
7%
OpenAI
$239 Volume
5%
Google
$209 Volume
6%
Moonshot
$319 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$287 Volume
4%
Z.ai
$327 Volume
1%
Baidu
$119 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$383 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$209 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$235 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$263 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$290 Volume
1%
Thinky
$247 Volume
1%
Meituan
$247 Volume
1%
Mistral
$249 Volume
1%
Amazon
$243 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$243 Volume
1%
Tencent
$247 Volume
1%
StepFun
$248 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$245 Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
Anthropic dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, Company A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
Traders price Anthropic at a 86% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On) market resolve?
Mark 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)?
$384 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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