This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Anthropic
$23.1K Volume
89%
Google
$2.1K Volume
7%
OpenAI
$1.6K Volume
5%
Meta
$1.5K Volume
3%
Microsoft
$762 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$1.5K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$945 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$1.3K Volume
1%
Baidu
$769 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$833 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$1.3K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$1.3K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$436 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$436 Volume
1%
Thinky
$1.1K Volume
1%
Meituan
$930 Volume
1%
Mistral
$1.3K Volume
1%
Amazon
$436 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$736 Volume
1%
Tencent
$2.4K Volume
1%
StepFun
$1.1K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)?
At 89%, Anthropic has pulled far clear of Company A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)?
With 89% implied for Anthropic, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On) market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)?
$384 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
October 202674%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
November 3081%YesNo
October 3158%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T18%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo



