This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
AI
· Tech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Anthropic
$9.6K Volume
95%
Meta
$623 Volume
2%
OpenAI
$2K Volume
5%
Amazon
$589 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$566 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$644 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$629 Volume
4%
DeepSeek
$738 Volume
1%
Tencent
$620 Volume
1%
StepFun
$619 Volume
2%
Google
$621 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$678 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$534 Volume
1%
Baidu
$615 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$604 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$706 Volume
1%
Thinky
$589 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$767 Volume
1%
Mistral
$694 Volume
1%
Meituan
$587 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$470 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: livebench.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
At 94%, Anthropic has pulled far clear of Company A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Traders price Anthropic at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Traders have put $18 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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