This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
AI
· Tech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic
$5.8K Volume
62%
OpenAI
$1.1K Volume
35%
Google
$158 Volume
1%
Meta
$229 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$133 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$222 Volume
1%
Baidu
$241 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$192 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$190 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$182 Volume
1%
Amazon
$261 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$240 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$245 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$229 Volume
1%
Mistral
$250 Volume
1%
Meituan
$182 Volume
1%
Tencent
$240 Volume
1%
StepFun
$192 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$180 Volume
1%
Thinky
$212 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$255 Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
It's a genuine race: Anthropic edges the field at 62%, barely ahead of Company A at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
At 62% implied for Anthropic, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October market resolve?
Mark 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Total turnover stands at $794. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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