This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
0-2
$22.9K Volume
1%
3-5
$4.8K Volume
1%
6-8
$5.2K Volume
1%
9-11
$7.1K Volume
99%
12+
$19.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will Claude go down on __ days in May? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will Claude go down on __ days in May? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $341 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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