AAA · Oil

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

$143 Volume
31/08/2026 00:00
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↓ $2.50
$389 Volume
1%
↓ $3.00
$299 Volume
1%
↓ $3.25
$348 Volume
1%
↓ $3.50
$276 Volume
1%
↓ $3.70
$1.5K Volume
7%
↓ $3.90
$587 Volume
3%
↑ $4.25
$1.6K Volume
17%
↑ $4.50
$2.3K Volume
6%
↑ $4.75
$366 Volume
4%
↑ $5.00
$2.4K Volume
4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Resolution Source: gasprices.aaa.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will gas hit __ by end of August?
The field is wide open: ↑ $4.25 tops it at just 13%, with ↓ $3.70 close behind at 4%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Will gas hit __ by end of August?
Right now the market's best guess is ↑ $4.25 at 13% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will gas hit __ by end of August market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will gas hit __ by end of August?
$143 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will gas hit __ by end of August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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