This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
225M
$855 Volume
1%
240M
$1.5K Volume
1%
255M
$4.9K Volume
2%
270M
$8.7K Volume
2%
285M
$37.2K Volume
55%
Resolved 1
300M
$6.3K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
It's a genuine race: 285M edges the field at 53%, barely ahead of 270M at 1%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
At 53% implied for 285M, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28 market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Sep 2026 (17 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
Total turnover stands at $59.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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