פולימרקט על טראמפ

שווקי טראמפ הם בין הפעילים ביותר בפולימרקט: כהונה, משפטים, מדיניות חוץ (אוקראינה, סין, מזרח תיכון), מדיניות פנים, ומשרה כללית. נפחי מסחר חורגים ממאות מיליוני דולרים.

שווקים אלה מגיבים חזק לכל הצהרה משמעותית, באמצעות Truth Social, ראיונות, או הודעות רשמיות מהבית הלבן. הסיקור בזמן אמת מייצר הזדמנויות סחר.

100 שווקים פעילים
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
19%
סיכוי
כן לא
$9.9M נפח 01/01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3171%כןלא
October 3147%כןלא
$19.6M נפח 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%כןלא
August 25August 2599%כןלא
$2.7M נפח 30/09
האם המשטר האיראני ייפול לפני 2027? האם המשטר האיראני ייפול לפני 2027?
8%
סיכוי
כן לא
$402.2K נפח 31/12
האם ארה"ב תפלוש לאיראן לפני 2027? האם ארה"ב תפלוש לאיראן לפני 2027?
17%
סיכוי
כן לא
$234.7K נפח 31/12
מתי תיערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?מתי תיערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?
March 31, 202768%כןלא
December 31, 202651%כןלא
$132.1K נפח 01/04
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2499%כןלא
August 2692%כןלא
$121.2K נפח 01/09
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3126%כןלא
October 3114%כןלא
$6M נפח 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3013%כןלא
September 158%כןלא
$690K נפח 01/10
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%כןלא
September 30, 2026September 30, 20262%כןלא
$6.2M נפח 01/01
החלטת הפד באוקטובר?החלטת הפד באוקטובר?
No change72%כןלא
25 bps increase25%כןלא
$2.1M נפח 28/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%כןלא
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%כןלא
$32.6K נפח 31/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 313%
$276.8K נפח 01/09
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina52%כןלא
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3145%כןלא
$25K נפח 31/12
איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 31 בדצמבר? איראן תסכים להפסיק את העשרת האורניום עד 31 בדצמבר?
14%
סיכוי
כן לא
$24.3K נפח 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3040%כןלא
August 3111%כןלא
$917.7K נפח 01/10
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
98%
סיכוי
כן לא
$25.5K נפח מסתיים היום
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
סיכוי
כן לא
$24.8K נפח 31/08
איפה ייערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?איפה ייערך הסבב הבא של שיחות השלום בין ארה"ב לאיראן...?
אין פגישה עד 30 בספטמבר77%כןלא
שווייץ10%כןלא
$14.4K נפח 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba23%כןלא
YMTCYMTC18%כןלא
$187.3K נפח 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman75%כןלא
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin49%כןלא
$16.1K נפח 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%כןלא
180-19911%כןלא
$16.1K נפח מסתיים היום
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings36%כןלא
Matthew BoyleMatthew Boyle18%כןלא
$152K נפח 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%כןלא
Boom / Booming85%כןלא
$9.2K נפח עוד 7 ימים
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
סיכוי
כן לא
$7.3K נפח 31/12
האם שי ג'ינפינג יבקר בארצות הברית לפני 2027?האם שי ג'ינפינג יבקר בארצות הברית לפני 2027?
December 3197%כןלא
October 3196%כןלא
$740.1K נפח 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
סיכוי
כן לא
$24.8K נפח 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%כןלא
Delcy Rodríguez10%כןלא
$95.8M נפח 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$5.9K נפח 01/01
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2%
סיכוי
כן לא
$5.3K נפח 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%כןלא
4.0%31%כןלא
$6.8M נפח 09/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
סיכוי
כן לא
$4.8K נפח 31/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%כןלא
4814%כןלא
$2.9M נפח 03/11
החלטת הפד בדצמבר?החלטת הפד בדצמבר?
No change61%כןלא
25 bps increase29%כןלא
$2.1M נפח 09/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+3%כןלא
40+2%כןלא
$4.5K נפח 31/08
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk11%כןלא
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni4%כןלא
$16.1K נפח 31/08
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
Border 3+ times94%כןלא
State 5+ times93%כןלא
$4.1K נפח מסתיים היום
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
סיכוי
כן לא
$260.1K נפח 31/12
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%כןלא
John Brennan18%כןלא
$389.2K נפח
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%כןלא
1019%כןלא
$10.5K נפח 03/11
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Death to America52%כןלא
Garbage51%כןלא
$3.4K נפח 31/08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$29.1M נפח 01/01
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz55%כןלא
Elon MuskElon Musk44%כןלא
$3K נפח 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+82%כןלא
180-19916%כןלא
$16.1K נפח עוד 4 ימים
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+48%כןלא
180-19926%כןלא
$16.1K נפח 01/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%כןלא
March 31, 202744%כןלא
$6M נפח 01/07
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3085%כןלא
September 1580%כןלא
$2.9K נפח 01/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%כןלא
618%כןלא
$12K נפח 03/11
החלטת הפד בינואר?החלטת הפד בינואר?
No change61%כןלא
25 bps increase22%כןלא
$2.1M נפח 27/01
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%כןלא
Productivity77%כןלא
$46.3K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3122%
$189.2K נפח 01/01
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times64%כןלא
Illegal / Illegals61%כןלא
$2.2K נפח 31/08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3117%כןלא
June 301%כןלא
$2.1M נפח 01/01
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
52%
סיכוי
כן לא
$308.5K נפח 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43.4K נפח 01/07
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
סיכוי
כן לא
$109.1K נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%כןלא
4717%כןלא
$7.2K נפח 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%כןלא
October 318%כןלא
$1.1M נפח 31/12
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26.1K נפח 01/07
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
20%
סיכוי
כן לא
$3.6K נפח עוד 5 ימים
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism94%כןלא
Crime92%כןלא
$1.7K נפח עוד 7 ימים
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$152.6K נפח 01/01
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement72%כןלא
Likud28%כןלא
$30.4K נפח 28/10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
סיכוי
כן לא
$1.5K נפח 31/08
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M53%כןלא
270M1%כןלא
$59.4K נפח 09/09
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3119%כןלא
September 3017%כןלא
$1.2K נפח 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Candace OwensCandace Owens27%כןלא
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins27%כןלא
$1.2K נפח 31/08
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping69%כןלא
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%כןלא
$1.1K נפח 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%כןלא
September 1132%כןלא
$57.5K נפח 01/10
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%כןלא
August 31, 20262%כןלא
$88K נפח 01/01
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%כןלא
August 311%כןלא
$6.3M נפח 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%כןלא
September 302%כןלא
$22.3K נפח 01/01
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55.5K נפח 01/01
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%כןלא
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%כןלא
$428.5K נפח 31/12
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%כןלא
30%30%6%כןלא
$810 נפח 31/12
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
סיכוי
כן לא
$798 נפח 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%כןלא
38.5–38.929%כןלא
$794 נפח עוד 5 ימים
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
172%כןלא
221%כןלא
$3.9K נפח 03/11
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%כןלא
גרמניהגרמניה40%כןלא
$719 נפח 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%כןלא
December 3150%כןלא
$2.9M נפח 01/01
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%כןלא
Rigetti80%כןלא
$173.1K נפח 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India18%כןלא
קנדה18%כןלא
$595 נפח 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%כןלא
September 307%כןלא
$6.4M נפח 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%כןלא
January 311%כןלא
$3.4M נפח 01/01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
סיכוי
כן לא
$547 נפח 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%כןלא
שווייץשווייץ3%כןלא
$540 נפח 31/12
האם Kash Patel יודח מתפקידו עד...?האם Kash Patel יודח מתפקידו עד...?
December 3124%כןלא
September 308%כןלא
$1.7M נפח 01/01
האם איראן תסכים למסור את מלאי האורניום המועשר עד...?האם איראן תסכים למסור את מלאי האורניום המועשר עד...?
31 בדצמבר8%כןלא
31 באוקטובר3%כןלא
$17.8M נפח 01/01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
סיכוי
כן לא
$10.6M נפח 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
סיכוי
כן לא
$1.6M נפח 31/12
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202619%
March 31, 20266%
$89K נפח 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%כןלא
June 263%כןלא
$1.6M נפח 01/09
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%כןלא
533%כןלא
$6.1K נפח 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
16%
סיכוי
כן לא
$7.4K נפח עוד 7 ימים
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
סיכוי
כן לא
$5.3K נפח 20/01
Fed abolished before 2027? Fed abolished before 2027?
5%
סיכוי
כן לא
$352 נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%כןלא
226%כןלא
$4.7K נפח 03/11
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
October 3171%כןלא
September 3062%כןלא
$347 נפח 01/11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
סיכוי
כן לא
$364.4K נפח 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
1014%כןלא
12+14%כןלא
$3.9K נפח 03/11
טען עוד בפולימרקט ←

שאלות נפוצות על שווקי טראמפ

אילו שווקי טראמפ פעילים כעת?

משרה שנתי, הצלחת תוכנית מדיניות ספציפית, משפטים והליכים, תוצאות מו"מ בינלאומי, והחלטות מינוי בכירים.

מה מזיז את המחירים?

הצהרות טראמפ (במיוחד Truth Social), הודעות רשמיות מהבית הלבן, פסקי דין, ופעולות קונגרס. התגובה מהירה מאוד.

איך מנהלים סיכון בשווקי טראמפ?

תנודתיות גבוהה: בנו פוזיציות הדרגתית, הימנעו מריכוז יתר בשוק יחיד, ועקבו אחר עומק ספר הפקודות לפני כניסה.

התחל אימון פולימרקט חינם
סחר בשווקי תחזיות עם כסף וירטואלי. מחירים אמיתיים, אפס סיכון. התחרה בטבלת המובילים.
$1K
כסף וירטואלי
500+
שווקים
$0
סיכון אמיתי
פרטים נוספים
מחירים אמיתיים אפס סיכון טבלת מובילים