Masoko ya Utabiri wa Trump

Masoko ya utabiri wa Trump ni miongoni mwa shughuli zaidi za Polymarket: muda wa utawala, mchakato wa kisheria, sera za kigeni (Ukraini, China, Mashariki ya Kati), sera za ndani, na idhini kwa ujumla. Volumeni zinazidi mamia ya milioni ya dola.

Masoko haya yanajibu kwa nguvu kwa kila tamko kubwa, kupitia Truth Social, mahojiano, au matangazo ya Ikulu. Uandishi wa habari wa wakati halisi unaunda fursa za biashara.

100 masoko ya kazi
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
17%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$9.8M Kiasi 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%NdiyoHapana
August 25August 2599%NdiyoHapana
$2.6M Kiasi 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%NdiyoHapana
October 3153%NdiyoHapana
$19.3M Kiasi 01/01
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$173.7K Kiasi 31/12
Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran...?Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran...?
March 31, 202765%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 202652%NdiyoHapana
$114K Kiasi 01/04
Je, Marekani itavamia Iran kabla ya 2027? Je, Marekani itavamia Iran kabla ya 2027?
17%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$95.7K Kiasi 31/12
Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027? Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$82.8K Kiasi 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%NdiyoHapana
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%NdiyoHapana
$6.2M Kiasi 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%NdiyoHapana
September 159%NdiyoHapana
$670.9K Kiasi 01/10
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$173.7K Kiasi 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274.2K Kiasi 01/09
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Oktoba?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Oktoba?
No change72%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase25%NdiyoHapana
$1.6M Kiasi 28/10
Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba? Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba?
14%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$22.4K Kiasi 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%NdiyoHapana
October 3115%NdiyoHapana
$5.9M Kiasi 01/01
Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran kitakuwa wapi...?Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran kitakuwa wapi...?
Hakuna Mkutano kabla ya 30 Septemba74%NdiyoHapana
Uswizi10%NdiyoHapana
$19.8K Kiasi 30/09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3044%NdiyoHapana
August 3115%NdiyoHapana
$910K Kiasi 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%NdiyoHapana
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%NdiyoHapana
$16.9K Kiasi 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%NdiyoHapana
ChinaChina46%NdiyoHapana
$16.4K Kiasi 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings21%NdiyoHapana
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%NdiyoHapana
$148.5K Kiasi 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%NdiyoHapana
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin47%NdiyoHapana
$20.4K Kiasi 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%NdiyoHapana
CATLCATL19%NdiyoHapana
$186.9K Kiasi 30/06
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2494%NdiyoHapana
August 2893%NdiyoHapana
$9.2K Kiasi 01/09
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni22%NdiyoHapana
Elon MuskElon Musk11%NdiyoHapana
$20.4K Kiasi 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+87%NdiyoHapana
180-19911%NdiyoHapana
$10.9K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.5K Kiasi 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%NdiyoHapana
Delcy Rodríguez10%NdiyoHapana
$95.8M Kiasi 31/12
Je, Xi Jinping atatembelea Marekani kabla ya 2027?Je, Xi Jinping atatembelea Marekani kabla ya 2027?
December 3197%NdiyoHapana
October 3196%NdiyoHapana
$738.9K Kiasi 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$6.2K Kiasi 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%NdiyoHapana
40+2%NdiyoHapana
$5.3K Kiasi 31/08
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Desemba?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Desemba?
No change61%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase29%NdiyoHapana
$1.6M Kiasi 09/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4K Kiasi 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$260.1K Kiasi 31/12
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Januari?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Januari?
No change61%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase22%NdiyoHapana
$1.6M Kiasi 27/01
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%NdiyoHapana
4914%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi 03/11
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil27%NdiyoHapana
John Brennan18%NdiyoHapana
$389K Kiasi
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1027%NdiyoHapana
1220%NdiyoHapana
$10.4K Kiasi 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity76%NdiyoHapana
Good Morning76%NdiyoHapana
$45.5K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26K Kiasi 01/07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$29.1M Kiasi 01/01
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God98%NdiyoHapana
Ballroom88%NdiyoHapana
$4.3K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam60%NdiyoHapana
Thomas Jefferson54%NdiyoHapana
$2.8K Kiasi 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals69%NdiyoHapana
Iran 5+ times63%NdiyoHapana
$2.7K Kiasi 31/08
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
75%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$4.7K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202758%NdiyoHapana
March 31, 202744%NdiyoHapana
$6M Kiasi 01/07
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%NdiyoHapana
618%NdiyoHapana
$11.9K Kiasi 03/11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%NdiyoHapana
September 1581%NdiyoHapana
$2.4K Kiasi 01/10
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
19%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$3.4K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43.4K Kiasi 01/07
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3127%
$188.8K Kiasi 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%NdiyoHapana
4718%NdiyoHapana
$7.1K Kiasi 03/11
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+59%NdiyoHapana
180-19918%NdiyoHapana
$10.9K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%NdiyoHapana
4.0%32%NdiyoHapana
$6.8M Kiasi 09/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$152K Kiasi 01/01
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping55%NdiyoHapana
Doug FordDoug Ford43%NdiyoHapana
$1.5K Kiasi 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+53%NdiyoHapana
180-19926%NdiyoHapana
$10.9K Kiasi 01/09
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%NdiyoHapana
October 318%NdiyoHapana
$1.1M Kiasi 31/12
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
September 3048%NdiyoHapana
December 3117%NdiyoHapana
$1.3K Kiasi 01/01
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz54%NdiyoHapana
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham48%NdiyoHapana
$1.3K Kiasi 31/08
Je, Kash Patel ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?Je, Kash Patel ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?
December 3125%NdiyoHapana
September 308%NdiyoHapana
$1.7M Kiasi 01/01
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism91%NdiyoHapana
Crime91%NdiyoHapana
$1.6K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.7K Kiasi 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%NdiyoHapana
September 1132%NdiyoHapana
$57.1K Kiasi 01/10
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%NdiyoHapana
UjerumaniUjerumani39%NdiyoHapana
$1.2K Kiasi 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%NdiyoHapana
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%NdiyoHapana
$428.5K Kiasi 31/12
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$22.3K Kiasi 01/01
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%NdiyoHapana
August 311%NdiyoHapana
$6.3M Kiasi 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%NdiyoHapana
UswisiUswisi3%NdiyoHapana
$975 Kiasi 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$64.7K Kiasi 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202621%
June 30, 20262%
$55.5K Kiasi 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%NdiyoHapana
September 307%NdiyoHapana
$6.4M Kiasi 01/01
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202613%
March 31, 20266%
$89K Kiasi 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
17%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$839 Kiasi 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%NdiyoHapana
221%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%NdiyoHapana
533%NdiyoHapana
$6.1K Kiasi 03/11
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%NdiyoHapana
Rigetti80%NdiyoHapana
$173K Kiasi 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.6M Kiasi 31/12
Insurrection Act invoked by...?Insurrection Act invoked by...?
December 3115%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$1.1M Kiasi 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz29%NdiyoHapana
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%NdiyoHapana
$555 Kiasi 31/08
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%NdiyoHapana
January 311%NdiyoHapana
$3.4M Kiasi 01/01
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India18%NdiyoHapana
Israel16%NdiyoHapana
$514 Kiasi 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%NdiyoHapana
60+33%NdiyoHapana
$676.4K Kiasi 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$10.6M Kiasi 31/12
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
20%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.4K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
50%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$306.9K Kiasi 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%NdiyoHapana
37.5–37.932%NdiyoHapana
$408 Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 30 Septemba? Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 30 Septemba?
4%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$22.4K Kiasi 30/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%NdiyoHapana
30%30%6%NdiyoHapana
$386 Kiasi 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
930%NdiyoHapana
1025%NdiyoHapana
$9.6K Kiasi 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
414%NdiyoHapana
12+14%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%NdiyoHapana
226%NdiyoHapana
$4.7K Kiasi 03/11
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%NdiyoHapana
June 263%NdiyoHapana
$1.6M Kiasi 01/09
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$364.3K Kiasi 31/12
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%NdiyoHapana
Likud31%NdiyoHapana
$29.3K Kiasi 28/10
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202612%
December 31, 202646%
$3.3K Kiasi 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
854%NdiyoHapana
921%NdiyoHapana
$10.5K Kiasi 03/11
Will Trump pardon anyone by...?Will Trump pardon anyone by...?
October 3172%NdiyoHapana
September 3066%NdiyoHapana
$309 Kiasi 01/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
349%NdiyoHapana
421%NdiyoHapana
$3.4K Kiasi 03/11
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?
December 3164%NdiyoHapana
November 3036%NdiyoHapana
$14.7K Kiasi 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?
1936%NdiyoHapana
2033%NdiyoHapana
$5.5K Kiasi 03/11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$319 Kiasi 20/01
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Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Trump

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