Trump-voorspellingsmarkten

Trump-voorspellingsmarkten behoren tot de actiefste van Polymarket: ambtstermijn, rechtszaken, buitenlands beleid (Oekraïne, China, Midden-Oosten), binnenlands beleid en algemene goedkeuring. De volumes overschrijden honderden miljoenen dollars.

Deze markten reageren sterk op elke belangrijke uitspraak, via Truth Social, interviews of aankondigingen van het Witte Huis. Realtime nieuwsdekking creëert handelskansen.

100 actieve markten
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$9,8 mln. Volume 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNee
August 25August 2599%JaNee
$2,6 mln. Volume 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%JaNee
October 3153%JaNee
$19,3 mln. Volume 01/01
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$173,7K Volume 31/12
Volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran tot...?Volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran tot...?
March 31, 202765%JaNee
December 31, 202652%JaNee
$114K Volume 01/04
Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027? Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$95,7K Volume 31/12
Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027? Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$82,8K Volume 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNee
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNee
$6,2 mln. Volume 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%JaNee
September 159%JaNee
$670,9K Volume 01/10
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$173,7K Volume 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2K Volume 01/09
Fed-besluit in oktober?Fed-besluit in oktober?
No change72%JaNee
25 bps increase25%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 28/10
Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
14%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,4K Volume 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%JaNee
October 3115%JaNee
$5,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Waar zal de volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran plaatsvinden tot...?Waar zal de volgende ronde van vredesgesprekken VS-Iran plaatsvinden tot...?
Geen vergadering voor 30 september74%JaNee
Zwitserland10%JaNee
$19,8K Volume 30/09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3044%JaNee
August 3115%JaNee
$910K Volume 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%JaNee
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%JaNee
$16,9K Volume 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%JaNee
ChinaChina46%JaNee
$16,4K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings21%JaNee
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%JaNee
$148,5K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%JaNee
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin47%JaNee
$20,4K Volume 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNee
CATLCATL19%JaNee
$186,9K Volume 30/06
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2494%JaNee
August 2893%JaNee
$9,2K Volume 01/09
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni22%JaNee
Elon MuskElon Musk11%JaNee
$20,4K Volume 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+87%JaNee
180-19911%JaNee
$10,9K Volume Nog 2 dagen
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,5K Volume 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%JaNee
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNee
$95,8 mln. Volume 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%JaNee
October 3196%JaNee
$738,9K Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
kans
Ja Nee
$6,2K Volume 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%JaNee
40+2%JaNee
$5,3K Volume 31/08
Fed-besluit in december?Fed-besluit in december?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase29%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 09/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4K Volume 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$260,1K Volume 31/12
Fed-besluit in januari?Fed-besluit in januari?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase22%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 27/01
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNee
4914%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 03/11
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil27%JaNee
John Brennan18%JaNee
$389K Volume
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1027%JaNee
1220%JaNee
$10,4K Volume 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity76%JaNee
Good Morning76%JaNee
$45,5K Volume Nog 5 dagen
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26K Volume 01/07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$29,1 mln. Volume 01/01
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God98%JaNee
Ballroom88%JaNee
$4,3K Volume Nog 7 dagen
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam60%JaNee
Thomas Jefferson54%JaNee
$2,8K Volume 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals69%JaNee
Iran 5+ times63%JaNee
$2,7K Volume 31/08
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
75%
kans
Ja Nee
$4,7K Volume Eindigt vandaag
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202758%JaNee
March 31, 202744%JaNee
$6 mln. Volume 01/07
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%JaNee
618%JaNee
$11,9K Volume 03/11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3086%JaNee
September 1581%JaNee
$2,4K Volume 01/10
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
19%
kans
Ja Nee
$3,4K Volume Nog 5 dagen
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43,4K Volume 01/07
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3127%
$188,8K Volume 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%JaNee
4718%JaNee
$7,1K Volume 03/11
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+59%JaNee
180-19918%JaNee
$10,9K Volume Nog 5 dagen
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%JaNee
4.0%32%JaNee
$6,8 mln. Volume 09/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$152K Volume 01/01
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping55%JaNee
Doug FordDoug Ford43%JaNee
$1,5K Volume 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+53%JaNee
180-19926%JaNee
$10,9K Volume 01/09
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%JaNee
October 318%JaNee
$1,1 mln. Volume 31/12
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
September 3048%JaNee
December 3117%JaNee
$1,3K Volume 01/01
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz54%JaNee
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham48%JaNee
$1,3K Volume 31/08
Kash Patel vóór... uit functie?Kash Patel vóór... uit functie?
December 3125%JaNee
September 308%JaNee
$1,7 mln. Volume 01/01
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism91%JaNee
Crime91%JaNee
$1,6K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,7K Volume 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%JaNee
September 1132%JaNee
$57,1K Volume 01/10
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%JaNee
DuitslandDuitsland39%JaNee
$1,2K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%JaNee
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%JaNee
$428,5K Volume 31/12
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$22,3K Volume 01/01
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$6,3 mln. Volume 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%JaNee
ZwitserlandZwitserland3%JaNee
$975 Volume 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$64,7K Volume 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202621%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5K Volume 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%JaNee
September 307%JaNee
$6,4 mln. Volume 01/01
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202613%
March 31, 20266%
$89K Volume 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$839 Volume 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%JaNee
221%JaNee
$3,9K Volume 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%JaNee
533%JaNee
$6,1K Volume 03/11
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%JaNee
Rigetti80%JaNee
$173K Volume 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,6 mln. Volume 31/12
Insurrection Act invoked by...?Insurrection Act invoked by...?
December 3115%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$1,1 mln. Volume 01/01
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz29%JaNee
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%JaNee
$555 Volume 31/08
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%JaNee
January 311%JaNee
$3,4 mln. Volume 01/01
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India18%JaNee
Israel16%JaNee
$514 Volume 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%JaNee
60+33%JaNee
$676,4K Volume 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$10,6 mln. Volume 31/12
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
20%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,4K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
50%
kans
Ja Nee
$306,9K Volume 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%JaNee
37.5–37.932%JaNee
$408 Volume Nog 5 dagen
Stemt Iran vóór 30 september in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 30 september in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,4K Volume 30/09
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%JaNee
30%30%6%JaNee
$386 Volume 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
930%JaNee
1025%JaNee
$9,6K Volume 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
414%JaNee
12+14%JaNee
$3,9K Volume 03/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%JaNee
226%JaNee
$4,7K Volume 03/11
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%JaNee
June 263%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 01/09
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
96%
kans
Ja Nee
$364,3K Volume 31/12
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%JaNee
Likud31%JaNee
$29,3K Volume 28/10
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202612%
December 31, 202646%
$3,3K Volume 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
854%JaNee
921%JaNee
$10,5K Volume 03/11
Will Trump pardon anyone by...?Will Trump pardon anyone by...?
October 3172%JaNee
September 3066%JaNee
$309 Volume 01/11
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
349%JaNee
421%JaNee
$3,4K Volume 03/11
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?
December 3164%JaNee
November 3036%JaNee
$14,7K Volume 01/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?
1936%JaNee
2033%JaNee
$5,5K Volume 03/11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
kans
Ja Nee
$319 Volume 20/01
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