פולימרקט בחירות

שווקי בחירות הם ליבת פולימרקט: בחירות נשיאותיות בארה״ב, מפלגות פרימריז, בחירות לקונגרס, ובחירות בכל דמוקרטיה משמעותית. שווקי בחירות ארה״ב 2024 רשמו נפח של מיליארדי דולרים.

התמחור משקלל סקרים, נתוני מימון מפלגה, אינדיקטורים כלכליים, ודיווחים עיתונאיים, והכול מגיע לידי ביטוי במחיר אחד. זה מאפשר סחר מעניין הן עבור מנתחים והן עבור משקיעים עם דעה.

89 שווקים פעילים
מיון
זוכה הבחירות לנשיאות 2028זוכה הבחירות לנשיאות 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%כןלא
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%כןלא
$692.1M נפח 07/11
המועמד הדמוקרטי לנשיאות 2028המועמד הדמוקרטי לנשיאות 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%כןלא
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%כןלא
$1.27B נפח 07/11
בחירות לנשיאות ברזילבחירות לנשיאות ברזיל
לואיז אינסיו לולה דה סילבהלואיז אינסיו לולה דה סילבה63%כןלא
פלávיו בולסונרופלávיו בולסונרו33%כןלא
$132M נפח 04/10
מועמד הרפובליקנים לנשיאות 2028מועמד הרפובליקנים לנשיאות 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%כןלא
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%כןלא
$690.7M נפח 07/11
הבחירות לנשיאות צרפת הבאותהבחירות לנשיאות צרפת הבאות
מרין לה פןמרין לה פן32%כןלא
אֵדוֹאַר פִּילִיפאֵדוֹאַר פִּילִיפ25%כןלא
$121.3M נפח 30/04
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%כןלא
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%כןלא
$4M נפח 13/09
איזו מפלגה תזכה במספר המושבים הרב ביותר בבחירות הפרלמנטריות ברוסיה?איזו מפלגה תזכה במספר המושבים הרב ביותר בבחירות הפרלמנטריות ברוסיה?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%כןלא
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%כןלא
$21.7M נפח 20/09
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%כןלא
R Senate, D House39%כןלא
$10.4M נפח 03/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%כןלא
September 3088%כןלא
$26.3M נפח 31/08
מי יהיה ראש הממשלה הבא של ישראל לאחר הבחירות הבאות?מי יהיה ראש הממשלה הבא של ישראל לאחר הבחירות הבאות?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%כןלא
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%כןלא
$33M נפח 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
סיכוי
כן לא
$128.2K נפח 20/09
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl99%כןלא
Aq JolAq Jol12%כןלא
$127.8K נפח מסתיים היום
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%כןלא
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%כןלא
$419.1K נפח 05/10
איזו מפלגה תנצח בבית הנבחרים ב-2026?איזו מפלגה תנצח בבית הנבחרים ב-2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%כןלא
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%כןלא
$20.8K נפח 03/11
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%כןלא
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%כןלא
$1.4M נפח 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%כןלא
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%כןלא
$5.2M נפח 04/10
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%כןלא
340–35422%כןלא
$211.2K נפח 20/09
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%כןלא
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%כןלא
$586K נפח 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%כןלא
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%כןלא
$870.8K נפח 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings30%כןלא
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%כןלא
$146.4K נפח 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%כןלא
September 3093%כןלא
$356.8K נפח 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%כןלא
Brett Smiley45%כןלא
$22.3K נפח 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%כןלא
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%כןלא
$20.9K נפח 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto22%כןלא
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%כןלא
$64.1K נפח
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%כןלא
Lorenzo Pazolini25%כןלא
$29.9K נפח 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%כןלא
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%כןלא
$3.3M נפח 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%כןלא
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%כןלא
$38.8K נפח 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%כןלא
Peter ObiPeter Obi26%כןלא
$113.7K נפח 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%כןלא
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%כןלא
$16.7K נפח 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%כןלא
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%כןלא
$22.8K נפח 04/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%כןלא
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%כןלא
$28.6K נפח 01/09
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12828%כןלא
121-12423%כןלא
$9.8K נפח 12/10
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha56%כןלא
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior35%כןלא
$14.9K נפח 04/10
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party5%כןלא
$29.2K נפח 03/11
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st PlaceRio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva48%כןלא
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy46%כןלא
$24.4K נפח 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%כןלא
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%כןלא
$308.6K נפח 17/04
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%כןלא
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%כןלא
$485.5K נפח 03/11
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%כןלא
7-9%22%כןלא
$13.6K נפח 13/09
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%כןלא
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%כןלא
$22.3K נפח 04/10
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%כןלא
CDUCDU26%כןלא
$3.3M נפח 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira38%כןלא
Julio CesarJulio Cesar30%כןלא
$17.3K נפח 04/10
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%כןלא
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%כןלא
$14.9K נפח 18/11
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%כןלא
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%כןלא
$182.8K נפח 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes64%כןלא
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta32%כןלא
$13.9K נפח 04/10
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
GaguimGaguim35%כןלא
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%כןלא
$13.6K נפח 04/10
Colima Governor Election WinnerColima Governor Election Winner
Rosa María Bayardo CabreraRosa María Bayardo Cabrera55%כןלא
María Cristina LupienMaría Cristina Lupien16%כןלא
$19K נפח 06/06
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes45%כןלא
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%כןלא
$18K נפח 04/10
Roraima Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRoraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Helio BolsonaroHelio Bolsonaro31%כןלא
Chico RodriguesChico Rodrigues27%כןלא
$17.9K נפח 04/10
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party5%כןלא
$67.1K נפח 03/11
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%46%כןלא
5-7%40%כןלא
$8K נפח 06/09
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%כןלא
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas30%כןלא
$20.7K נפח 06/06
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez29%כןלא
Agustín Villarreal GranadosAgustín Villarreal Granados26%כןלא
$6.2K נפח 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Sergio Sullca CondoriSergio Sullca Condori31%כןלא
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%כןלא
$16.6K נפח 04/10
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party5%כןלא
$39.6K נפח 03/11
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS47%כןלא
SV26%כןלא
$197.4K נפח 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%כןלא
Erika KokayErika Kokay29%כןלא
$11.1K נפח 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%כןלא
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%כןלא
$13.6K נפח 04/10
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%כןלא
59-6129%כןלא
$7.2K נפח 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%כןלא
Elmer Ángel Acero BrunaElmer Ángel Acero Bruna8%כןלא
$8K נפח 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%כןלא
Democratic Party5%כןלא
$42.3K נפח 03/11
האם Netanyahu יודח מתפקידו עד...?האם Netanyahu יודח מתפקידו עד...?
December 3149%כןלא
May 311%כןלא
$4.5K נפח 01/01
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%כןלא
Jim PriestJim Priest6%כןלא
$117.7K נפח מסתיים היום
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%כןלא
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick11%כןלא
$5.4K נפח 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party5%כןלא
$37.5K נפח 03/11
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd PlaceMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Roseana SarneyRoseana Sarney26%כןלא
FufucaFufuca22%כןלא
$15K נפח 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil70%כןלא
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé26%כןלא
$38.5K נפח 31/08
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%כןלא
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%כןלא
$15.3K נפח 04/10
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
סיכוי
כן לא
$260.1K נפח 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
סיכוי
כן לא
$372.3K נפח 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%כןלא
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%כןלא
$210.5K נפח 11/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%כןלא
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon45%כןלא
$92K נפח 30/04
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni45%כןלא
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro39%כןלא
$10K נפח 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%כןלא
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%כןלא
$13.8K נפח עוד 2 ימים
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes68%כןלא
Humberto CostaHumberto Costa22%כןלא
$20.5K נפח 04/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%כןלא
1019%כןלא
$10.4K נפח 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%כןלא
ADIADI30%כןלא
$8.9K נפח 27/09
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%כןלא
4914%כןלא
$2.9M נפח 03/11
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%כןלא
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%כןלא
$28.3K נפח 04/10
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%כןלא
PLQPLQ17%כןלא
$806.8K נפח 05/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%כןלא
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%כןלא
$15.5K נפח 13/09
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?
8-11%45%כןלא
<8%29%כןלא
$5.8K נפח 20/09
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos54%כןלא
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%כןלא
$16.2K נפח 04/10
Huancayo Mayoral Election WinnerHuancayo Mayoral Election Winner
Emerson Nolasco DelgadoEmerson Nolasco Delgado40%כןלא
Rony Paolo Vejarano PérezRony Paolo Vejarano Pérez17%כןלא
$24.4K נפח 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party2%כןלא
$60.6K נפח 03/11
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%כןלא
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%כןלא
$23.4K נפח 04/10
איזו מפלגה תנצח בסנאט ב-2026?איזו מפלגה תנצח בסנאט ב-2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party50%כןלא
Republican PartyRepublican Party50%כןלא
$4M נפח 03/11
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
60%
סיכוי
כן לא
$164.2K נפח 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%כןלא
Ralph NormanRalph Norman3%כןלא
$19.3K נפח עוד 2 ימים
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerKaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Uba SaniUba Sani63%כןלא
Aminu AbdulfatahAminu Abdulfatah17%כןלא
$4.2K נפח 06/02
טען עוד בפולימרקט ←

רוצה לסחור בשווקי בחירות?

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט והתחל לסחור עוד היום

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט

שאלות נפוצות על שווקי בחירות

למה שווקי בחירות נחשבים למדויקים?

הם דורשים "skin in the game": אנשים שמים כסף על דעתם, מה שמסנן משקעים לא-בסיסיים. ככל שהנפח גדול יותר, כך המחיר אמין יותר.

אילו שווקי בחירות פעילים כעת?

בחירות 2028 בארה״ב, בחירות ישראל (לפי תאריך), UK ו-EU בחירות מקומיות, ובחירות מפלגתיות פנימיות. עקבו אחר הדף שלנו לעדכונים.

איך מתמחרים סיכון בשווקי בחירות?

בדקו נזילות (עומק ספר הפקודות), תנודתיות היסטורית, ותאריך החלטה. שווקים עם נזילות נמוכה מועדים לתמחור לא יעיל.

התחל אימון פולימרקט חינם
סחר בשווקי תחזיות עם כסף וירטואלי. מחירים אמיתיים, אפס סיכון. התחרה בטבלת המובילים.
$1K
כסף וירטואלי
500+
שווקים
$0
סיכון אמיתי
פרטים נוספים
מחירים אמיתיים אפס סיכון טבלת מובילים